Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.459760 0.535664 0.619838 0.720060 0.836109 0.966230 1.123187
2025-02-16 0.334493 0.435706 0.560545 0.725650 0.938126 1.202252 1.555507
2025-02-23 0.265313 0.374186 0.519021 0.725379 1.011501 1.393922 1.943790
2025-03-02 0.217556 0.327460 0.482979 0.718423 1.065262 1.556884 2.306375
2025-03-09 0.184602 0.294000 0.457312 0.717878 1.122320 1.725308 2.691984
2025-03-16 0.153561 0.257382 0.420039 0.692142 1.134823 1.825456 2.983685
2025-03-23 0.143511 0.251795 0.428931 0.738047 1.262459 2.114283 3.601174
2025-03-30 0.123168 0.225708 0.400472 0.717918 1.278248 2.223781 3.937784
2025-04-06 0.105810 0.202012 0.372426 0.693856 1.282729 2.312551 4.246517
2025-04-13 0.091656 0.181917 0.347756 0.671896 1.286956 2.399372 4.559111
2025-04-20 0.083399 0.171665 0.339478 0.678587 1.343497 2.584387 5.069374
2025-04-27 0.079658 0.169656 0.346333 0.714653 1.459305 2.890280 5.839905
2025-05-04 0.073971 0.163150 0.344052 0.733390 1.545544 3.153502 6.566902
2025-05-11 0.067825 0.154851 0.337184 0.742116 1.613198 3.389127 7.269580
2025-05-18 0.061650 0.145536 0.326869 0.741978 1.661850 3.590959 7.924918
2025-05-25 0.055664 0.135744 0.314185 0.734872 1.694306 3.762122 8.534268
2025-06-01 0.050879 0.128025 0.305028 0.734315 1.740815 3.967741 9.241349
2025-06-08 0.044899 0.116555 0.285808 0.708001 1.725379 4.035617 9.647898
2025-06-15 0.044182 0.117984 0.296963 0.754936 1.886257 4.516281 11.054395
2025-06-22 0.039537 0.108734 0.281204 0.734355 1.882951 4.618915 11.584675
2025-06-29 0.035207 0.099668 0.264712 0.709754 1.866600 4.688636 12.043203
2025-07-06 0.031471 0.091649 0.249827 0.687300 1.852780 4.762602 12.520202
2025-07-13 0.029470 0.088149 0.246262 0.694142 1.915335 5.031624 13.519263